Fascinating analysis by Pew Research of the huge number of people who won’t be voting on Tuesday. Is this you?
Understandably, most of the attention in this fall’s elections has been on likely voters, not on those unlikely to cast a ballot.
Almost certainly, however, there will be far more nonvoters1 than voters this year.
Turnout in midterm elections typically is less than 40% of the voting age population (in 2006 it was 37%), and there is no reason to expect that it will be dramatically higher in 2010.
Who are these likely nonvoters who constitute a majority of the American public this year?
Nonvoters are significantly less Republican in their party affiliation than are likely voters, and more supportive of an activist federal government.3
Despite their more difficult economic circumstances, nonvoters express greater satisfaction with national conditions than do likely voters, and are more likely to approve of Barack Obama’s job performance.